0x0d4b560061f8dfd759a624351e85bd9b49f4fad3
0x0d4b560061f8dfd759a624351e85bd9b49f4fad3
Wallet digest
Activity score
77/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$34.46
Total PnL
$-2.26
Realised
$-0.02
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
78 shares @ 8.8¢·now 8.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$6.82
$-0.05
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on June 3?
30 shares @ 19.8¢·now 19.5¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$5.89
$-0.11
- YES
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30?
35 shares @ 17.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.41
$-1.59
- YES
Will Inter Miami CF win the 2026 MLS Cup?
22 shares @ 18.1¢·now 19.5¢·exp Dec 19, 2026$4.30
$0.30
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on June 4?
22 shares @ 23.0¢·now 19.0¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$4.13
$-0.87
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on June 3?
30 shares @ 10.2¢·now 13.5¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$3.99
$0.99
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on June 4?
23 shares @ 16.8¢·now 14.5¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$3.31
$-0.53
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
7 shares @ 15.0¢·now 15.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.03
$0.03
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
38 shares @ 2.6¢·now 1.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.58
$-0.42
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on June 2?$0.00Jun 2, 17:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on June 3?$1.05Jun 2, 15:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on June 3?$1.05Jun 2, 14:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on June 3?$1.05Jun 2, 14:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C or below on June 3?$0.66Jun 2, 14:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on June 3?$0.99Jun 2, 14:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.03Jun 2, 13:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C or below on June 3?$1.05Jun 2, 11:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on June 3?$2.10Jun 2, 11:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on June 3?$5.22Jun 2, 11:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on June 4?$4.02Jun 2, 10:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on June 4?$5.22Jun 2, 10:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on June 2?$18.05Jun 2, 10:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on June 2?$1.02Jun 2, 03:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on June 2?$2.10Jun 2, 03:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on June 2?$2.09Jun 2, 03:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on June 2?$1.22Jun 2, 03:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on June 2?$1.94Jun 2, 01:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by May 31?$0.17May 31, 16:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on June 2?$2.10May 31, 09:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $2.96
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 9, 23:45 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 2, 17:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".