OtherExpires Jun 30, 2026

Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30?

Probability

28¢

+0.0pp

24h

-0.5pp

24h Vol

$1.1K

Liquidity

$30.4K

Probability (last 7 days)

-15.5pp 7d

Apr 18, 2026, 18:00Apr 25, 2026, 17:00

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 1 factor

1
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 1567h with open resolution ambiguity.

What to track next

Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

AI prose summary

Loading prose summary — see the structured breakdown above.

Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice

0s agoResolve
Market resolves in 1567.0h
LOW
17:00Signal
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 1567h with open resolution ambiguity.
LOW
12:00Price
Probability down -6.0pp
to 28¢
MEDIUM
11:00Price
Probability down -6.5pp
to 28¢
MEDIUM
09:00Price
Probability down -4.5pp
to 28¢
MEDIUM
08:00Price
Probability down -4.5pp
to 28¢
MEDIUM
06:00Price
Probability down -4.5pp
to 28¢
MEDIUM
05:00Price
Probability down -4.5pp
to 28¢
MEDIUM
03:00Price
Probability down -5.0pp
to 28¢
MEDIUM
02:00Price
Probability down -4.0pp
to 28¢
MEDIUM
00:00Price
Probability down -3.0pp
to 29¢
MEDIUM
23:00Price
Probability down -3.5pp
to 29¢
MEDIUM
21:00Price
Probability down -6.0pp
to 29¢
MEDIUM
20:00Price
Probability down -3.0pp
to 29¢
MEDIUM
18:00Price
Probability down -5.5pp
to 29¢
MEDIUM
1d agoPrice
Probability down -3.5pp
to 29¢
MEDIUM
1d agoPrice
Probability down -8.5pp
to 29¢
MEDIUM
1d agoPrice
Probability down -10.0pp
to 29¢
MEDIUM
1d agoPrice
Probability down -7.0pp
to 30¢
MEDIUM
1d agoPrice
Probability down -6.5pp
to 29¢
MEDIUM
1d agoPrice
Probability down -13.5pp
to 28¢
MEDIUM
1d agoPrice
Probability down -14.5pp
to 28¢
MEDIUM
1d agoPrice
Probability down -4.5pp
to 28¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability down -5.5pp
to 29¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability down -4.0pp
to 29¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability down -3.5pp
to 29¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability down -6.0pp
to 29¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability down -14.5pp
to 28¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability down -15.5pp
to 28¢
MEDIUM

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Related Markets

Same eventMaría Corina Machado enters Venezuela by...?

Category · Other

Market Description

If María Corina Machado visits Venezuela between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as María Corina Machado physically entering the terrestrial territory of Venezuela. Whether or not María Corina Machado enters Venezuelan airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk

End date: Jun 30, 2026
UMA status: n/a
Resolution source: consensus of credible reportingNews consensusextracted · medium
Market type: Binary

No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.

Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

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Top Holders

20 wallets

YES

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