Defensive-Descent
0x0d4b99b5f85b467faafe24681225aec190c9525f
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
27
Open notional
$103.22
Total PnL
$-2.0K
Realised
$-38.16
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 27- YES
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
41290 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$103.22
$-20.64
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET
865 shares @ 23.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?
795 shares @ 8.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$0.00
$-70.63
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET
688 shares @ 39.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-269.90
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET
583 shares @ 16.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 27, 2026$0.00
$-93.96
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?
577 shares @ 5.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 27, 2026$0.00
$-34.31
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET
443 shares @ 21.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$0.00
$-94.33
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET
429 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$0.00
$-90.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET
404 shares @ 37.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 27, 2026$0.00
$-152.83
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET
345 shares @ 43.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-150.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Jun 13, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 12, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 11, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 10, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 9, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 8, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$127.57Jun 7, 20:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$198.94May 15, 08:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$156.98May 14, 19:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$154.91May 14, 19:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$376.95May 13, 20:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$378.69May 13, 20:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$231.70May 11, 15:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$232.94May 11, 15:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$65.13May 10, 10:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET$50.49May 7, 13:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$174.60May 5, 15:14 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET$0.00May 5, 13:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET$195.43May 5, 13:24 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET$195.61May 5, 13:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $139.27
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 1, 14:11 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 00:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.