Deficient-Workhorse
0x0d5c75792e5fbfacc1df67da23a41ff9802d66e8
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
24
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-159.92
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 24- YES
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?
1500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?
1100 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 9, 2026$0.00
$-2.20
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on March 21?
1000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?
825 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 14, 2025$0.00
$-3.30
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?
665 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.33
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on November 27?
600 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 27, 2025$0.00
$-1.20
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?
588 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.20
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from April 4 to April 6, 2026?
570 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.14
- YES
Will Curtis Sliwa win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 10 to October 17, 2025?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 17, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?$12.11Jul 18, 07:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?$12.10Jul 17, 09:00 UTC
- REDEEMXi Jinping out by June 30?$2.67Jul 1, 06:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be above $1.50 on June 3?$98.10Jun 3, 18:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.50 on June 3?$98.01Jun 2, 11:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 1?$98.10Jun 1, 19:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 1?$98.01Jun 1, 08:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?$1.05Jun 1, 08:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump post 0-19 Truth Social posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026?$1.00May 26, 22:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 26?$99.10May 26, 18:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump post 0-19 Truth Social posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026?$1.00May 26, 10:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 26?$99.01May 25, 11:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 20?$99.10May 20, 18:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 20?$99.01May 19, 09:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 13?$99.10May 19, 09:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 13?$99.01May 13, 12:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$3.15May 13, 12:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Drake officially release Iceman by May 8, 2026?$102.99May 13, 12:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?$1.26May 9, 10:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Drake officially release Iceman by May 8, 2026?$103.01May 7, 10:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
29 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 55/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $64.81
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 21, 09:04 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 18, 07:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.