Critical-Emitter
0x0d7e9ddc0a0e6a7cd703ce8d1c0fd3b517a7cb13
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
22
Open notional
$374.45
Total PnL
$-1.3K
Realised
$-228.86
Win rate
33%
12 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- YES
Trump out as President by June 30?
23000 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$195.50
$-10.24
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
20000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$50.00
$0.22
- YES
China coup attempt before 2027?
597 shares @ 2.9¢·now 3.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$20.01
$2.69
- YES
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
200 shares @ 9.0¢·now 8.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$17.00
$-1.00
- YES
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?
800 shares @ 2.0¢·now 2.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$16.81
$1.12
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
5000 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$15.00
$-2.00
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
544 shares @ 2.9¢·now 2.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$14.95
$-0.97
- YES
Will Santander fail by June 30, 2026?
1347 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$12.13
$-20.81
- YES
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?
1000 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$9.50
$-1.50
- YES
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?
100 shares @ 7.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.50
$0.50
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jun 14, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?$1.00Jun 13, 16:47 UTC
- TRADESELLUkraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? $0.20Jun 13, 10:11 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump out as President by June 30?$1.13Jun 13, 04:40 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump out as President by June 30?$10.87Jun 13, 04:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$3.00Jun 13, 02:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President by June 30?$7.00Jun 13, 01:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President by June 30?$8.00Jun 13, 01:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 13, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Santander fail by June 30, 2026?$1.00Jun 12, 23:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Deutsche Bank fail by June 30, 2026?$1.00Jun 12, 22:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Santander fail by June 30, 2026?$1.20Jun 12, 22:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?$18.00Jun 12, 21:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?$1.32Jun 12, 21:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President by June 30?$1.36Jun 12, 21:02 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump out as President by June 30?$8.09Jun 12, 20:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President by June 30?$0.65Jun 12, 20:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President by June 30?$11.35Jun 12, 20:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?$3.67Jun 12, 20:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Santander fail by June 30, 2026?$1.03Jun 12, 20:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $2.76
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 12, 15:11 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 12 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.