Likely-Spear
0x0da3b22e31309eec06a1cc245ccbb4f70f9267fa
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
66
Open notional
$1.8K
Total PnL
$-633.59
Realised
$12.55
Win rate
38%
16 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 66- YES
Will the Democrats win the Michigan governor race in 2026?
1087 shares @ 69.4¢·now 83.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$902.37
$147.62
- YES
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
3391 shares @ 16.9¢·now 17.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$593.47
$19.88
- YES
Will the Republicans win the Michigan governor race in 2026?
773 shares @ 24.0¢·now 14.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$112.12
$-73.52
- YES
Will Chris Pappas be the Democratic nominee for Senate in New Hampshire?
43 shares @ 89.2¢·now 92.0¢·exp Sep 8, 2026$39.15
$1.20
- YES
Will Perplexity not IPO by December 31, 2027?
52 shares @ 48.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$26.08
$1.29
- YES
Will Eric Pratt be the Republican Nominee for MN-02?
25 shares @ 41.8¢·now 98.2¢·exp Aug 11, 2026$24.54
$14.09
- YES
Will Silver (SI) settle at $50-$60 in June?
137 shares @ 14.9¢·now 15.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$21.59
$1.23
- YES
Will Perplexity’s market cap be between $75B and $100B at market close on IPO day?
102 shares @ 4.0¢·now 12.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$12.49
$8.41
- YES
Will Karishma Manzur be the Democratic nominee for Senate in New Hampshire?
181 shares @ 6.8¢·now 6.6¢·exp Sep 8, 2026$11.96
$-0.37
- YES
Will Silver (SI) settle at $70-$80 in June?
23 shares @ 12.3¢·now 29.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$6.72
$3.87
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.06Jun 14, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Jun 13, 00:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?$195.22Jun 12, 23:22 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Jun 12, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jun 11, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jun 10, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jun 9, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jun 8, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jun 7, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jun 6, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jun 5, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jun 4, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jun 3, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Jun 2, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Jun 1, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.07May 31, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.07May 30, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.07May 29, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.07May 28, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.07May 27, 00:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 6, 00:10 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 16 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.