Likely-Spear
0x0da3b22e31309eec06a1cc245ccbb4f70f9267fa
Quality score
67/100
Open positions
77
Open notional
$3.3K
Total PnL
$-1.1K
Realised
$-12.23
Win rate
36%
22 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 77- YES
No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after March 2026 meeting?
860 shares @ 97.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 19, 2026$860.01
$25.81
- YES
Will the Democrats win the Michigan governor race in 2026?
1087 shares @ 69.4¢·now 62.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$679.49
$-75.25
- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
500 shares @ 97.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$500.00
$15.00
- YES
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
3391 shares @ 16.9¢·now 14.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$491.73
$-81.85
- YES
Will the Republicans win the Michigan governor race in 2026?
773 shares @ 24.0¢·now 19.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$150.78
$-34.86
- YES
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?
195 shares @ 54.0¢·now 49.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$96.63
$-8.78
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
88 shares @ 93.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$88.00
$6.16
- YES
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?
80 shares @ 73.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$80.00
$21.60
- YES
Will the Bank of Korea make no change to the base rate after the April Meeting?
70 shares @ 92.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$70.00
$5.60
- YES
Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the March decision?
40 shares @ 71.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 30, 2026$40.00
$11.60
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.036h ago
- YIELD$0.041d ago
- YIELD$0.042d ago
- YIELD$0.043d ago
- YIELD$0.044d ago
- YIELD$0.045d ago
- YIELD$0.056d ago
- YIELD$0.037d ago
- YIELD$0.048d ago
- YIELD$0.049d ago
- YIELD$0.0510d ago
- YIELD$0.0411d ago
- YIELD$0.0412d ago
- YIELD$0.0413d ago
- YIELD$0.0414d ago
- YIELD$0.0415d ago
- YIELD$0.0416d ago
- YIELD$0.0417d ago
- YIELD$0.0418d ago
- YIELD$0.0419d ago
Score breakdown
- Trades (all time)
- 15
- Avg trade size
- $4.21
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 34d ago
- Last active
- 6h ago
Score is a 0–100 composite of open position size, breadth (number of trades), realised + unrealised ROI, win rate on closed markets, and category specialisation.