Flat-Disclaimer
0x0dafbca7916820777ac4056dc5def711a6e8be17
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
22
Open notional
$1.8K
Total PnL
$-532.51
Realised
$-13.09
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- NO
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?
1188 shares @ 84.2¢·now 84.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.0K
$3.71
- NO
Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?
779 shares @ 51.3¢·now 39.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2026$303.92
$-96.08
- NO
Will Russia enter Vasylivka by July 31, 2026?
401 shares @ 44.9¢·now 40.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$160.47
$-19.52
- NO
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?
101 shares @ 88.7¢·now 97.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$98.78
$8.78
- NO
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
833 shares @ 24.0¢·now 10.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$83.33
$-116.67
- YES
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?
98 shares @ 51.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$49.51
$-0.49
- YES
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?
104 shares @ 48.0¢·now 47.5¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$49.48
$-0.52
- YES
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14?
132 shares @ 38.0¢·now 37.5¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$49.34
$-0.66
- CURAÇAO
Spread: Germany (-3.5)
98 shares @ 51.0¢·now 49.5¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$48.53
$-1.47
- YES
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13?
294 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Sweden win on 2026-06-14?$50.73Jun 14, 12:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ecuador win on 2026-06-14?$50.93Jun 14, 11:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?$50.78Jun 14, 10:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Germany (-3.5)$50.73Jun 14, 10:34 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Brazil (-1.5)$72.46Jun 14, 00:37 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Switzerland (-1.5)$121.95Jun 13, 21:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Brazil (-1.5)$50.46Jun 13, 16:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Switzerland (-1.5)$50.88Jun 13, 16:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYAustralia vs. Türkiye: O/U 3.5$51.11Jun 13, 13:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?$50.63Jun 13, 13:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Haiti win on 2026-06-13?$51.24Jun 13, 13:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYHaiti vs. Scotland: O/U 4.5$10.24Jun 13, 13:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYHaiti vs. Scotland: O/U 3.5$101.92Jun 13, 13:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill United States win on 2026-06-12?$212.54Jun 13, 05:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United States win on 2026-06-12?$101.59Jun 12, 14:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Vasylivka by July 31, 2026?$100.00Jun 10, 07:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Vasylivka by July 31, 2026?$80.00Jun 9, 03:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?$100.00Jun 1, 06:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?$100.00Jun 1, 06:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia enter Vasylivka by May 31, 2026?$725.88Jun 1, 05:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $89.36
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 24, 13:22 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 12:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.