Deficient-Compulsion
0x0df758f3a438f88d9b98da42ab76cd585a101ec1
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
76
Open notional
$139.84
Total PnL
$-668.53
Realised
$-2.03
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 76- YES
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-08-19?
67 shares @ 70.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 19, 2026$66.97
$19.97
- BOSTON RED SOX
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Boston Red Sox
44 shares @ 68.1¢·now 83.5¢·exp Aug 26, 2026$36.99
$6.82
- ELENA RYBAKINA
Cincinnati Open: Diana Shnaider vs Elena Rybakina
19 shares @ 65.0¢·now 60.0¢·exp Aug 26, 2026$11.40
$-0.95
- YES
Will Nikki Haley be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?
10 shares @ 50.0¢·now 16.0¢·exp Aug 14, 2028$1.59
$-3.40
- YES
Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship?
10 shares @ 50.0¢·now 14.5¢·exp Mar 31, 2027$1.45
$-3.55
- NO
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
1 shares @ 82.7¢·now 91.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.11
$0.11
- YES
Will Ted Cruz be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?
10 shares @ 50.0¢·now 10.9¢·exp Aug 14, 2028$1.09
$-3.91
- YES
Will Marjorie Taylor Greene be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?
10 shares @ 50.0¢·now 9.3¢·exp Aug 14, 2028$0.93
$-4.07
- YES
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?
10 shares @ 50.0¢·now 9.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2027$0.90
$-4.10
- YES
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship?
10 shares @ 50.0¢·now 8.5¢·exp Mar 31, 2027$0.85
$-4.15
Recent activity
- REDEEMChicago White Sox vs. Chicago Cubs$0.00Aug 19, 21:06 UTC
- REDEEMChicago White Sox vs. Chicago Cubs$29.80Aug 19, 21:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYArizona Diamondbacks vs. Boston Red Sox$8.28Aug 19, 21:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYCincinnati Open: Diana Shnaider vs Elena Rybakina$12.57Aug 19, 21:01 UTC
- REDEEMAtlanta Braves vs. Minnesota Twins$282.49Aug 19, 20:50 UTC
- REDEEMAtlanta Braves vs. Minnesota Twins$0.00Aug 19, 20:50 UTC
- MERGEArizona Diamondbacks vs. Boston Red Sox$10.27Aug 19, 20:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYArizona Diamondbacks vs. Boston Red Sox$3.92Aug 19, 20:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYArizona Diamondbacks vs. Boston Red Sox$8.14Aug 19, 20:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-08-19?$39.49Aug 19, 20:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-08-19?$8.19Aug 19, 20:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYKingston: Edward Winter vs Gonzalo Bueno$5.60Aug 19, 20:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYArizona Diamondbacks vs. Boston Red Sox$7.40Aug 19, 20:33 UTC
- MERGEAtlanta Braves vs. Minnesota Twins$10.00Aug 19, 20:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYArizona Diamondbacks vs. Boston Red Sox$7.21Aug 19, 20:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYAtlanta Braves vs. Minnesota Twins$1.15Aug 19, 20:30 UTC
- REDEEMSan Diego Padres vs. New York Mets$279.95Aug 19, 20:17 UTC
- REDEEMSan Diego Padres vs. New York Mets$0.00Aug 19, 20:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYArizona Diamondbacks vs. Boston Red Sox$6.32Aug 19, 20:16 UTC
- MERGEChicago White Sox vs. Chicago Cubs$10.00Aug 19, 20:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
31 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 64/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $30.12
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 19, 19:00 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 19, 21:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.