0x0e0b403a013020b8cf6ae226ef65b64ff484568c
0x0e0b403a013020b8cf6ae226ef65b64ff484568c
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-570.70
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
MLS: Will Portland beat Real Salt Lake?
625 shares @ 42.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 17, 2025$0.00
$-262.50
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 11AM ET
425 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2025$0.00
$-212.50
- NO
Will Susan Crawford win by 10% or more?
120 shares @ 78.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2025$0.00
$-93.60
- NO
Will Trump announce tariffs on Vietnam on April 2?
10 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 2, 2025$0.00
$-2.10
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill anyone say "Q3" during the Q2 2025 Netflix earnings call?$490.00Jul 19, 03:09 UTC
- REDEEMMLS: Will LA Galaxy vs. Austin FC end in a draw?$390.00Jul 19, 03:08 UTC
- REDEEMMLS: Will Minnesota United beat LAFC?$605.00Jul 17, 06:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill anyone say "Q3" during the Q2 2025 Netflix earnings call?$357.70Jul 16, 13:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYMLS: Will Minnesota United beat LAFC?$375.10Jul 16, 12:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYMLS: Will LA Galaxy vs. Austin FC end in a draw?$232.50Jul 16, 12:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYMLS: Will LA Galaxy vs. Austin FC end in a draw?$30.00Jul 16, 12:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYMLS: Will LA Galaxy vs. Austin FC end in a draw?$3.75Jul 16, 12:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYMLS: Will LA Galaxy vs. Austin FC end in a draw?$3.75Jul 16, 12:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYMLS: Will LA Galaxy vs. Austin FC end in a draw?$3.75Jul 16, 12:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYMLS: Will LA Galaxy vs. Austin FC end in a draw?$3.75Jul 16, 12:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYMLS: Will LA Galaxy vs. Austin FC end in a draw?$3.75Jul 16, 12:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYMLS: Will LA Galaxy vs. Austin FC end in a draw?$3.75Jul 16, 12:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYMLS: Will LA Galaxy vs. Austin FC end in a draw?$3.75Jul 16, 12:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYMLS: Will LA Galaxy vs. Austin FC end in a draw?$3.75Jul 16, 12:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYMLS: Will Portland beat Real Salt Lake?$262.50Jul 16, 10:17 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - July 15, 4PM ET$290.00Jul 16, 05:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Amazon" during the Energy and Innovation Summit on July 15?$1.0KJul 16, 05:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 15, 4PM ET$145.00Jul 15, 12:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Amazon" during the Energy and Innovation Summit on July 15?$210.00Jul 15, 09:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
22 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 56/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 22
- Avg trade size
- $110.34
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 1, 15:12 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 19, 03:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.