Kindhearted-Harm
0x0e101ddbeb565f81c8e3901440d1ca06d383291e
Wallet digest
Activity score
41/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$8.66
Total PnL
$-1.6K
Realised
$-14.10
Win rate
39%
28 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
225 shares @ 11.6¢·now 3.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.66
$-17.34
- YES
Will Trump nominate Barron Trump as the next Fed chair?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Curtis Sliwa win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
500 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-0.50
- YES
New "Stranger Things" episode released by Wednesday?
401 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-4.02
- YES
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 30?
337 shares @ 32.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-110.31
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET
302 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET
205 shares @ 45.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 5, 2026$0.00
$-93.18
- YES
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
200 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-22.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET
194 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 4, 2026$0.00
$-83.47
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET
183 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2026$0.00
$-86.06
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jul 1, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 30, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 29, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 28, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 27, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 26, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 25, 00:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 24, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 23, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 22, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 21, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 20, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 19, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 18, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 17, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 16, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 15, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 14, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 13, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 12, 00:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
54/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
39% win rate over 28 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
28 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 13, 00:12 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 1, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 28 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.