Oval-Somebody
0x0e40545208ba746a6325cb357a0b15dc43651319
Wallet digest
Activity score
81/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$196.53
Total PnL
$-21.47
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- NO
Opinion FDV above $1B one day after launch?
98 shares @ 41.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$97.56
$57.56
- NO
Base FDV above $4B one day after launch?
143 shares @ 28.0¢·now 46.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$66.43
$26.43
- NO
Opinion FDV above $2B one day after launch?
29 shares @ 70.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$28.57
$8.57
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
63 shares @ 16.0¢·now 6.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.97
$-6.03
- UP
XRP Up or Down - November 10, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET
523 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 10, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET
346 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 10, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 19, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET
175 shares @ 22.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 19, 2025$0.00
$-40.00
- UP
Solana Up or Down - November 19, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET
124 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 19, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?
95 shares @ 4.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 25, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - November 17, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET
45 shares @ 44.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 17, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$10.00Jan 7, 00:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBase FDV above $4B one day after launch?$40.00Jan 6, 23:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpinion FDV above $2B one day after launch?$20.00Jan 6, 23:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpinion FDV above $1B one day after launch?$40.00Jan 6, 23:09 UTC
- TRADESELLKinetiq FDV above $1B one day after launch?$1.57Nov 27, 19:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYKinetiq FDV above $1B one day after launch?$20.00Nov 26, 22:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?$73.33Nov 24, 08:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?$1.92Nov 24, 08:27 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down on November 23?$58.33Nov 24, 08:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?$4.00Nov 23, 03:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?$5.00Nov 23, 03:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?$30.00Nov 23, 03:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?$5.00Nov 23, 03:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Monad perform an airdrop by November 25? $19.79Nov 23, 03:05 UTC
- TRADESELLMonad market cap (FDV) >$12B one day after launch?$3.37Nov 23, 03:05 UTC
- TRADESELLMonad market cap (FDV) >$10B one day after launch?$13.71Nov 23, 03:05 UTC
- TRADESELLMonad market cap (FDV) >$14B one day after launch?$7.29Nov 23, 03:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?$4.00Nov 23, 03:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?$3.00Nov 23, 03:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?$20.00Nov 23, 03:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $31.54
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 18, 23:10 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 7, 00:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.