Hungry-Overhead
0x0e458a22f7d7ea2d1f1c87b356003f42ea669a13
Wallet digest
Activity score
41/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
40
Open notional
$12.53
Total PnL
$-288.21
Realised
$-22.82
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 40- CONOR MCGREGOR
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)
35 shares @ 34.0¢·now 35.5¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$12.53
$0.53
- YES
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-05-10?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-05-10?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get 100 million or more views on week 1?
1056 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 5-11?
898 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- NO
Will MrBeast hit 123.5 billion views by May 31?
542 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get between 90 and 100 million views on week 1?
340 shares @ 5.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- STRUFF
Set 1 Winner: Struff vs Bublik
300 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- NO
Will MrBeast hit 124 billion views by May 31?
234 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-35.00
- NO
Will MrBeast hit 123 billion views by May 31?
210 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 4 to July 6, 2026?$5.18Jul 6, 15:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 4 to July 6, 2026?$20.19Jul 6, 15:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 4 to July 6, 2026?$18.39Jul 6, 11:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 4 to July 6, 2026?$18.41Jul 6, 11:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 4 to July 6, 2026?$31.51Jul 6, 04:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico win on 2026-07-05?$1.03Jul 6, 02:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico win on 2026-07-05?$2.05Jul 6, 02:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico win on 2026-07-05?$2.04Jul 6, 00:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 4 to July 6, 2026?$36.60Jul 6, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 4 to July 6, 2026?$31.43Jul 5, 17:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 4 to July 6, 2026?$1.02Jul 5, 14:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 4 to July 6, 2026?$1.02Jul 4, 17:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 2 to July 4, 2026?$2.22Jul 4, 17:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 2 to July 4, 2026?$2.01Jul 4, 02:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)$10.20Jul 3, 16:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?$12.39Jul 3, 16:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)$2.04Jun 27, 20:03 UTC
- REDEEMUFC Fight Night: Julius Walker vs. Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)$0.00Jun 27, 20:02 UTC
- REDEEMUFC Fight Night: Rafael Fiziev vs. Manuel Torres (Lightweight, Main Card)$2.04Jun 27, 19:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC Fight Night: Julius Walker vs. Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)$1.03Jun 27, 10:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
13/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 71/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $5.17
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 18, 14:15 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 6, 15:22 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.