Frizzy-Opening
0x0e5bd76779e74304d08e759072abf126d87da593
Wallet digest
Activity score
89/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
4
Open notional
$840.9K
Total PnL
$144.4K
Realised
$94.3K
Win rate
25%
4 closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
340550 shares @ 99.6¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$340.0K
$758.40
- NO
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?
310648 shares @ 99.7¢·now 99.5¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$308.9K
$-665.41
- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
191304 shares @ 46.7¢·now 78.6¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$150.5K
$61.1K
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
192420 shares @ 27.3¢·now 21.6¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$41.5K
$-11.2K
Recent activity
- MAKER_REBATE$529.54Jul 28, 00:45 UTC
- REWARD$0.49Jul 28, 00:15 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$127.07Jul 28, 00:10 UTC
- REWARD$113.83Jul 28, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$20.86Jul 27, 18:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$8.1KJul 27, 18:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$31.21Jul 27, 18:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$16.6KJul 27, 18:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$219.00Jul 27, 16:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$50.00Jul 27, 16:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$300.00Jul 27, 16:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$274.48Jul 27, 16:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$72.30Jul 27, 16:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$10.37Jul 27, 16:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$212.30Jul 27, 16:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$3.83Jul 27, 16:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$1.8KJul 27, 16:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$130.06Jul 27, 16:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$3.1KJul 27, 16:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$584.00Jul 27, 16:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentLedger volume
$61.8K
Trades
2
Buy share
55%
Window
May 26, 10:30 UTC → May 29, 15:53 UTC
- BUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?$7.1K@98¢May 29, 15:53 UTC
- BUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?$26.7K@98¢May 27, 11:47 UTC
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
15/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
25% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
46 live trades, 3 ledger trades, copy-risk 74/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
55%
Sample
limited
3 ledger trades
Top market concentration
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
$28.0K · 45% of recorded whale volume
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $975.07
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 27, 16:25 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 00:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.