Celebrated-Elderberry
0x0e7c5651dd096d282a4ee5cfd4467ea9734675c8
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$11.79
Total PnL
$-1.25
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
French election called by November 30?
4 shares @ 90.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$4.49
$0.45
- NO
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?
3 shares @ 86.0¢·now 76.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$2.67
$-0.33
- NO
Progressive Cities Parlay
3 shares @ 78.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$2.56
$0.56
- NO
Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
2 shares @ 96.5¢·now 99.9¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$2.07
$0.07
- NO
Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
2 shares @ 93.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYFrench election called by November 30?$4.04Nov 4, 16:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$2.00Nov 4, 16:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?$3.00Nov 4, 16:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$2.00Nov 4, 16:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYProgressive Cities Parlay$2.00Nov 4, 16:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be another US government shutdown by December 31?$2.04Nov 4, 16:17 UTC
- TRADESELLNext BLS jobs report during government shutdown?$2.09Nov 4, 16:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill fewer than 55 U.S. senators vote "Yea" on the next funding bill by October 31?$2.04Nov 4, 16:17 UTC
- REDEEMJohn Thune out as Senate Majority leader by October 31?$2.22Nov 4, 16:17 UTC
- REDEEMChuck Schumer out as Senate Minority Leader by October 31?$2.22Nov 4, 16:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill House and Senate pass funding bill by October 31?$2.39Nov 4, 16:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill House and Senate pass funding bill by October 31?$2.20Oct 26, 17:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYChuck Schumer out as Senate Minority Leader by October 31?$2.20Oct 26, 17:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYJohn Thune out as Senate Majority leader by October 31?$2.20Oct 26, 17:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be another US government shutdown by December 31?$2.00Oct 26, 17:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill fewer than 55 U.S. senators vote "Yea" on the next funding bill by October 31?$2.00Oct 26, 17:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYNext BLS jobs report during government shutdown?$2.00Oct 26, 17:43 UTC
- TRADESELLJerome Powell in jail in 2025$0.99Oct 26, 17:43 UTC
- TRADESELLFed abolished in 2025?$1.00Oct 26, 17:43 UTC
- TRADESELLFed rate hike in 2025?$1.03Oct 26, 17:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $1.44
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 25, 05:15 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 4, 16:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.