Fine-Flanker
0x0e7fa09bf44514693b5ecc2420c50abc39b62015
Wallet digest
Activity score
36/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-13.9K
Realised
$-1.5K
Win rate
14%
90 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Javier Milei be the next leader out before 2027?
4110 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-164.40
- YES
Will Kim Jong Un be the next leader out before 2027?
4110 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-164.40
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom be the next leader out before 2027?
4110 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-164.40
- YES
Will Ahmed al-Sharaa be the next leader out before 2027?
4110 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-164.40
- YES
Will Anthony Albanese be the next leader out before 2027?
4110 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-164.40
- YES
Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan be the next leader out before 2027?
4110 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-164.40
- YES
Will Friedrich Merz be the next leader out before 2027?
4110 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-164.40
- YES
Will Claudia Sheinbaum be the next leader out before 2027?
4110 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-164.40
- YES
Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?
4040 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-161.60
- YES
Will Emmanuel Macron be the next leader out before 2027?
3970 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-158.80
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 8% and 10%?$0.68Jul 17, 14:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on July 9?$0.73Jul 17, 14:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill New People (NL) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$0.68Jul 17, 14:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$0.62Jul 17, 14:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election?$0.75Jul 17, 14:23 UTC
- TRADESELL2026 Balance of Power: Other$0.72Jul 17, 14:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 10–15%?$0.78Jul 17, 14:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$0.81Jul 17, 14:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$0.81Jul 17, 14:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill John Mills be the Republican nominee for AL-01?$0.02Jul 17, 14:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Democratic Party win the VA-06 House seat?$0.96Jul 17, 14:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?$1.04Jul 17, 14:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?$1.12Jul 17, 14:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill another contestant win The Bachelorette Season 22?$0.57Jul 17, 14:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$1.27Jul 17, 14:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Rhett Marques be the Republican nominee for AL-01?$0.49Jul 17, 14:22 UTC
- TRADESELL2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House$2.15Jul 17, 14:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?$2.20Jul 17, 14:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill New York Yankees win the 2026 AL East title?$2.24Jul 17, 14:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?$2.52Jul 17, 14:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
54/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
14% win rate over 90 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
44 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 25/100.
90 closed markets, 14% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $3.70
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 11, 21:49 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 17, 14:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 90 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.