Disastrous-Fantasy
0x0e8c3bf1aedda0e6b4ffa7770491a71c371e03ab
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
59
Open notional
$513.77
Total PnL
$-688.22
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 59- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
155 shares @ 93.8¢·now 97.8¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$151.04
$6.04
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
97 shares @ 82.6¢·now 85.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$82.79
$2.79
- NO
Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?
74 shares @ 67.6¢·now 86.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$63.57
$13.57
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
58 shares @ 86.6¢·now 86.5¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$49.95
$-0.05
- NO
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of June?
44 shares @ 68.0¢·now 73.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$32.43
$2.43
- NO
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?
33 shares @ 90.0¢·now 85.7¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$28.55
$-1.45
- NO
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?
21 shares @ 93.2¢·now 99.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$21.38
$1.38
- NO
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?
21 shares @ 94.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$19.68
$-0.32
- NO
Trump out as President by June 30?
15 shares @ 97.7¢·now 99.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$15.19
$0.19
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on June 3?
11 shares @ 94.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$10.54
$0.54
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C on June 4?$5.03Jun 3, 07:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$20.00Jun 3, 07:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?$30.00Jun 3, 07:06 UTC
- REDEEMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$14.49Jun 3, 07:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Flavio Cobolli win the 2026 Men's French Open?$10.03Jun 2, 15:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on June 3?$10.03Jun 2, 15:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$10.00Jun 2, 14:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?$50.00Jun 2, 14:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by June 15?$10.00Jun 2, 09:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by June 15?$20.00Jun 2, 09:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?$50.65Jun 2, 07:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?$5.41Jun 2, 07:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on June 1?$5.88Jun 2, 07:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?$13.49Jun 2, 07:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?$67.46Jun 2, 07:09 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$233.93Jun 2, 07:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYRoland Garros ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Matteo Berrettini$10.21Jun 1, 15:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on June 1?$5.04Jun 1, 12:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?$30.12Jun 1, 11:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$20.00Jun 1, 11:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $21.78
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 22, 07:37 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 3, 07:37 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".