Arctic-Author
0x0e9f4bbc911ab10719f591a566ed276740445ee2
Wallet digest
Activity score
51/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
13
Open notional
$111.92
Total PnL
$-629.95
Realised
$-1.14
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
118 shares @ 85.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$100.59
$0.59
- YES
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?
46 shares @ 64.8¢·now 24.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$11.34
$-18.66
- NO
Will Trump meet with Jerome Powell by July 31?
755 shares @ 44.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-334.70
- YES
Will MrBeast say "Survive" during his next video?
194 shares @ 94.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-182.93
- YES
Will Armenia win on 2025-10-11?
150 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 11, 2025$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?
107 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will one person dissent the October Fed decision?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on April 13?
67 shares @ 58.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-39.34
- NO
Will MrBeast say "Dollar" 15+ times during his next video?
45 shares @ 65.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-29.00
- YES
Will two people dissent the December Fed decision?
4 shares @ 44.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.76
Recent activity
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$60.18Jun 1, 08:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?$135.34Jun 1, 08:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$67.57Jun 1, 06:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?$52.63May 31, 09:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?$30.39May 30, 11:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYTamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?$30.42May 12, 10:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$50.00May 12, 09:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$100.60May 12, 09:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$50.00May 12, 09:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?$101.05May 2, 10:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYSPY (SPY) Up or Down on April 13?$40.00Apr 12, 11:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Republic of Ireland win on 2025-11-16?$24.26Nov 16, 15:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Republic of Ireland win on 2025-11-16?$10.00Nov 16, 14:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill monthly inflation be between 1.8% and 2.0% in October?$1.00Nov 12, 18:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Franklin Resources (BEN) beat quarterly earnings?$3.13Nov 7, 12:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Sonos (SONO) beat quarterly earnings?$2.50Nov 7, 12:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Franklin Resources (BEN) beat quarterly earnings?$1.00Nov 7, 12:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Franklin Resources (BEN) beat quarterly earnings?$1.00Nov 7, 12:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Franklin Resources (BEN) beat quarterly earnings?$1.00Nov 7, 12:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Franklin Resources (BEN) beat quarterly earnings?$1.00Nov 7, 12:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $18.46
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 26, 19:00 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 1, 08:48 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".