Neighboring-Guess
0x0ea3153b5ca84414a2fcdcd8264e22bf96a671a1
Wallet digest
Activity score
44/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
143
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-3.0K
Realised
$56.45
Win rate
72%
47 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 143- NO
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-04?
1811 shares @ 41.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$0.00
$-742.32
- YES
Will Austin FC win on 2026-04-04?
1286 shares @ 13.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$0.00
$-173.32
- ILLINOIS FIGHTING ILLINI
Connecticut Huskies vs. Illinois Fighting Illini
529 shares @ 23.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$0.00
$-123.16
- LYON
Game Handicap: LY (-1.5) vs Cloud9 (+1.5)
479 shares @ 48.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 5, 2026$0.00
$-230.62
- YES
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-04?
455 shares @ 42.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$0.00
$-193.63
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET
405 shares @ 42.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 5, 2026$0.00
$-171.57
- YES
Will D.C. United SC win on 2026-04-04?
318 shares @ 42.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$0.00
$-133.57
- OVER
Everton de Viña del Mar vs. CD Ñublense: O/U 2.5
293 shares @ 37.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$0.00
$-108.43
- NO
Will São Paulo FC win on 2026-04-04?
284 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$0.00
$-8.88
- GUILHERME PAT
UFC Fight Night: Thomas Petersen vs. Guilherme Pat (Heavyweight, Prelims)
259 shares @ 27.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 5, 2026$0.00
$-70.35
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?$4.04Jun 11, 00:40 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Birmingham City FC (-1.5)$0.85Apr 27, 10:23 UTC
- REDEEMMillwall FC vs. Norwich City FC: O/U 4.5$2.02Apr 27, 10:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?$2.04Apr 27, 10:22 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Birmingham City FC (-2.5)$3.00Apr 27, 10:22 UTC
- REDEEMJuventus FC vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 2.5$3.07Apr 27, 10:22 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Blackburn Rovers FC (-2.5)$5.02Apr 27, 10:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Girona FC win on 2026-04-06?$8.35Apr 27, 10:22 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)$14.27Apr 27, 10:22 UTC
- REDEEMGPT-5.5 released by June 30, 2026?$44.49Apr 27, 10:22 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)$48.91Apr 27, 10:22 UTC
- REDEEMGPT-5.5 released by April 30, 2026?$77.00Apr 27, 10:22 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$4.1KApr 27, 10:22 UTC
- REDEEMQuerétaro FC vs. Deportivo Toluca FC: O/U 4.5$0.10Apr 6, 15:10 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Los Angeles FC (-2.5)$0.23Apr 6, 15:10 UTC
- REDEEMLos Angeles FC vs. Orlando City SC: O/U 4.5$0.33Apr 6, 15:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill New York Red Bulls win on 2026-04-04?$0.37Apr 6, 15:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Charlotte FC win on 2026-04-04?$0.52Apr 6, 15:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill New York Red Bulls vs. FC Cincinnati end in a draw?$0.56Apr 6, 15:09 UTC
- REDEEMLoL: Sentinels vs Disguised (BO3) - LCS Group Stage$0.80Apr 6, 15:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
82/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
72% win rate over 47 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
47 closed markets, 72% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 6, 15:09 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 11, 00:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 47 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.