Respectful-Spandex
0x0eafcdd42d3aa829ee1750147800ca98e5cc5452
Wallet digest
Activity score
33/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
51
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-825.49
Realised
$-4.28
Win rate
8%
51 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 51- YES
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03?
1019 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- NO
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
601 shares @ 13.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.00
$-80.00
- YES
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
538 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.00
$-70.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET
300 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?
109 shares @ 57.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$0.00
$-62.75
- DALLAS WINGS
New York Liberty vs. Dallas Wings
109 shares @ 92.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 21, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET
103 shares @ 97.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 24, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET
101 shares @ 99.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 21, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Spain to score first vs. Argentina?
86 shares @ 46.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score
46 shares @ 54.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET$0.18Aug 7, 02:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET$1.04Aug 7, 02:25 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET$1.15Aug 2, 04:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET$1.04Aug 2, 04:05 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET$1.15Aug 2, 03:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET$1.03Aug 2, 03:55 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET$0.18Aug 1, 15:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET$10.34Aug 1, 15:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET$10.09Aug 1, 03:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET$3.13Aug 1, 03:21 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET$3.31Aug 1, 03:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET$3.08Aug 1, 03:10 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET$4.01Aug 1, 03:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET$3.10Aug 1, 03:07 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET$3.07Aug 1, 03:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET$3.08Aug 1, 03:01 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET$3.71Aug 1, 02:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET$3.08Aug 1, 02:52 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET$3.06Jul 31, 23:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET$3.08Jul 31, 23:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
62/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
8% win rate over 51 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
39 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 26/100.
51 closed markets, 8% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $4.87
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 30, 22:15 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 7, 02:28 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 51 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.