Constant-Fit
0x0eb568f307e9a48af2c3e688ad6074236712c494
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$572.45
Total PnL
$-10.1M
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
17000 shares @ 3.4¢·now 3.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$552.50
$-20.48
- YES
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
300 shares @ 5.8¢·now 6.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$19.95
$2.55
- YES
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-04?
4984741 shares @ 66.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$0.00
$-3.3M
- YES
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-17?
3602903 shares @ 38.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.4M
- YES
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-05-17?
3133404 shares @ 65.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-2.1M
- NO
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-05-01?
2347841 shares @ 30.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-725.6K
- YES
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-02?
1637618 shares @ 77.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 2, 2026$0.00
$-1.3M
- YES
Will 1. FC Köln win on 2026-05-10?
834534 shares @ 47.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-398.6K
- YES
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-05-02?
754633 shares @ 48.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 2, 2026$0.00
$-365.7K
- YES
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-05-16?
633268 shares @ 38.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-240.6K
Recent activity
- MAKER_REBATE$545.65May 18, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.06May 18, 00:13 UTC
- REWARD$1.48May 18, 00:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-17?$50.0KMay 17, 23:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-05-17?$100.0KMay 17, 18:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-05-17?$44.8KMay 17, 18:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-05-17?$194.12May 17, 18:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-05-17?$545.63May 17, 18:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-05-17?$86.34May 17, 18:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-05-17?$9.12May 17, 18:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-05-17?$9.10May 17, 18:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-05-17?$174.4KMay 17, 18:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-05-17?$9.27May 17, 18:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-05-17?$4.42May 17, 18:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-05-17?$3.71May 17, 18:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-05-17?$9.29May 17, 18:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-05-17?$3.80May 17, 18:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-05-17?$9.27May 17, 18:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-05-17?$9.27May 17, 18:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-05-17?$1.88May 17, 18:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentLedger volume
$229.3K
Trades
3
Buy share
100%
Window
May 17, 09:20 UTC → May 17, 18:12 UTC
- BUYWill Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-05-17?$179.6K@66¢May 17, 18:12 UTC
- BUYWill Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-05-17?$6.9K@63¢May 17, 18:07 UTC
- BUYWill AC Milan win on 2026-05-17?$42.7K@57¢May 17, 09:15 UTC
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$229.3K
3 trades
30d volume
$229.3K
3 trades
Buy share
100%
Sample
limited
3 ledger trades
Top market concentration
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-05-17?
$186.5K · 81% of recorded whale volume
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $11.0K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 18:28 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".