Wallet profile

Constant-Fit

0x0eb568f307e9a48af2c3e688ad6074236712c494

activity 50/100

Wallet digest

active

Activity score

50/100

Performance: thin sample

Open positions

12

Open notional

$0.00

Total PnL

$-10.1M

Realised

$0.00

Win rate

n/a

too few closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Largest open positions

showing 10 of 12

Recent activity

  • YIELD$0.04Jun 5, 00:14 UTC
  • TRADESELLWill Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$18.92Jun 4, 20:20 UTC
  • TRADESELLWill Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$466.59Jun 4, 20:20 UTC
  • YIELD$0.05Jun 4, 00:14 UTC
  • YIELD$0.04Jun 3, 00:15 UTC
  • YIELD$0.05Jun 2, 00:16 UTC
  • YIELD$0.05Jun 1, 00:11 UTC
  • YIELD$0.05May 31, 00:15 UTC
  • YIELD$0.05May 30, 00:12 UTC
  • YIELD$0.06May 29, 00:12 UTC
  • YIELD$0.06May 28, 00:14 UTC
  • YIELD$0.06May 27, 00:10 UTC
  • YIELD$0.06May 26, 00:13 UTC
  • YIELD$0.06May 25, 00:15 UTC
  • YIELD$0.06May 24, 00:13 UTC
  • YIELD$0.06May 23, 00:10 UTC
  • YIELD$0.05May 22, 00:11 UTC
  • YIELD$0.06May 21, 00:11 UTC
  • YIELD$0.06May 20, 00:14 UTC
  • YIELD$0.06May 19, 00:15 UTC

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

Ledger volume

$229.3K

Trades

1

Buy share

100%

Window

May 17, 09:20 UTC → May 17, 18:12 UTC

Last 30 days · daily volumemax $0.00

Wallet edge sanity

Do not mirror

0/100
read-only

Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.

No resolved edge sample

Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.

High mirror risk

Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.

Required before treating wallet flow as useful

Resolved-only performance

Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.

Copy-lag simulation

A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.

Liquidity and exit

Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.

Resolution-source risk

The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.

Survivorship bias

Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.

Wallet intelligence filter

Blocked

0/100
no PredictFoliopaper-only

Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.

Wallet signal
review

28 live trades, 3 ledger trades, copy-risk 73/100.

Resolved-only track record
block

Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.

Cost / slippage
missing

No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.

Resolution risk
missing

No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.

Market liquidity
missing

No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.

Copy-lag simulation
missing

No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.

Paper-only attribution
missing

No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.

Ledger intelligence

persistent

7d volume

$0.00

0 trades

30d volume

$0.00

0 trades

Buy share

100%

Sample

limited

3 ledger trades

Top market concentration

Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-05-17?

$186.5K · 81% of recorded whale volume

Recorded market concentration

Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-05-17?81% of recorded volume$186.5KWill AC Milan win on 2026-05-17?19% of recorded volume$42.7K

Profile dimensions

Activity37 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence0 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry83 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk73 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time)
28
Avg trade size
$15.0K
Top category
—
Category concentration
0%
First seen
May 17, 18:28 UTC
Last active
Jun 5, 00:14 UTC
Win rate sample
0 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.

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updated 12:30:57 UTC·src:Polymarket Data