Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-02?
Probability
80¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
-8.5pp
24h Vol
$1.2K
Liquidity
$33.8K
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 1 factor- 1
Down 9pp over 24h
Now 80¢; flat in the last hour.
What to track next
- Set an alert if probability recovers above 85¢ — that's where this move would be reversing.
- Add to your watchlist — Home will show probability deltas since your last visit.
- Compare against sibling markets in the same event below — divergent pricing across related contracts is the cleanest tell.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 164.3h
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.5pp
to 80¢
- 15:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 83¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 26.5pp
to 88¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 40.5pp
to 88¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 38.5pp
to 87¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 39.0pp
to 87¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 39.0pp
to 87¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 39.5pp
to 88¢
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
In the upcoming game, scheduled for May 2, 2026 If FC Bayern München wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 2, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- official statisticsOfficial statisticsbundesliga.com
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.