Well-Lit-Crepe
0x0ebb125d9709b2003b2e76abffe5bcc20b146a4e
Activity score
66/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$112.36
Total PnL
$-21.48
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
14321 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$107.41
$-21.48
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 37°C on May 10?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$1.27
$0.00
- NO
Will Procreate Pocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on May 12?
1 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.4¢·exp May 12, 2026$1.25
$-0.01
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on May 10?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$1.23
$0.00
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$1.19
$0.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$1.1917h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 37°C on May 10?$1.2717h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on May 10?$1.2317h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Procreate Pocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on May 12?$1.2617h ago
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?$1.0018h ago
- REDEEMWill Mistral have the second-best AI model at the end of March 2026?$1.0518h ago
- REDEEMWill Meituan have the second-best AI model at the end of March 2026?$1.0518h ago
- REDEEMNo token launch by March 31$1.1318h ago
- YIELD$0.011d ago
- YIELD$0.012d ago
- YIELD$0.013d ago
- YIELD$0.014d ago
- YIELD$0.015d ago
- YIELD$0.016d ago
- YIELD$0.017d ago
- YIELD$0.018d ago
- YIELD$0.019d ago
- YIELD$0.0110d ago
- YIELD$0.0111d ago
- YIELD$0.0412d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 4
- Avg trade size
- $1.24
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 42d ago
- Last active
- 17h ago
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".