0x0ebe8f453be262db762ec465c767fe9ffba4a39a
0x0ebe8f453be262db762ec465c767fe9ffba4a39a
Wallet digest
Activity score
76/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$21.10
Total PnL
$-0.31
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?
18 shares @ 45.0¢·now 44.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$7.92
$-0.09
- NO
Israel closes its airspace by August 31?
3 shares @ 56.0¢·now 74.5¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$2.27
$0.56
- YES
Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $60 Week of July 27 2026?
4 shares @ 54.0¢·now 61.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$2.25
$0.27
- NO
Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $150 Week of July 27 2026?
3 shares @ 66.0¢·now 67.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$2.04
$0.03
- NO
Another pandemic before GTA VI?
4 shares @ 51.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.93
$-0.02
- NO
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?
2 shares @ 78.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$1.73
$0.15
- NO
New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?
3 shares @ 50.0¢·now 49.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.51
$-0.02
- NO
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?
3 shares @ 50.0¢·now 40.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.24
$-0.29
- NO
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?
3 shares @ 37.0¢·now 6.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.20
$-0.91
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?$2.53Jul 28, 17:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?$1.57Jul 28, 13:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" 12+ times during Michigan remarks?$3.56Jul 28, 00:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $150 Week of July 27 2026?$2.04Jul 27, 21:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026?$0.00Jul 27, 19:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026?$2.56Jul 27, 19:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother pandemic before GTA VI?$2.00Jul 27, 12:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $60 Week of July 27 2026?$2.02Jul 27, 00:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?$1.53Jul 26, 12:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" 12+ times during Michigan remarks?$2.00Jul 26, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?$2.02Jul 25, 12:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?$0.00Jul 25, 05:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?$1.11Jul 25, 00:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?$3.67Jul 24, 23:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026?$2.02Jul 24, 12:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026?$1.75Jul 24, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by August 31?$1.71Jul 23, 12:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?$4.35Jul 23, 00:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?$6.38Jul 22, 18:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?$1.58Jul 22, 12:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
21 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 53/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 21
- Avg trade size
- $2.25
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 15, 07:36 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 17:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.