New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?
Probability
53¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
-1.0pp
24h Vol
$499.29
Liquidity
$28.2K
Probability (last 7 days)
-1.5pp 7dWhy did it move?
Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 2328.1h
- 11:54SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 2328h with open resolution ambiguity.
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
Related Markets
8- 53¢0.0pp
Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?
Geopolitics · Vol $5.9K
- 61¢-4.0pp
New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?
Entertainment · Vol $782.06
- 49¢0.0pp
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?
Other · Vol $4.8K
- 53¢+1.0pp
Trump out as President before GTA VI?
Politics · Vol $14.4K
- 52¢+0.5pp
Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?
Geopolitics · Vol $1.1K
- 50¢-0.1pp
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?
Crypto · Vol $8.0K
- 66¢-4.5pp
Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?
AI · Vol $459.42
- 98¢-0.6pp
Will Drake release Iceman before GTA VI?
Other · Vol $633.25
Market Description
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Playboi Carti officially releases a new album before Grand Theft Auto VI is officially released in the US. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If neither occurs by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50. For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count. The resolution source for the release of GTA VI is official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive. Officially released means that a newly released album is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date. Re-releases, deluxe editions, compilations, or greatest hits albums will not count, unless they contain at least 50% tracks that have never been officially released in any format prior to the album's release. The resolution source for the album release will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify.
Resolution & Risk
MEDIUM risk- End date
- Jul 31, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Binary
- No primary resolution source listed — read the full market rules before acting.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).