Profuse-Occupation
0x0ebfcd3efd430309fe2d421f06ace87d6ba25bfa
Wallet digest
Activity score
93/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
20
Open notional
$19.4K
Total PnL
$-23.5K
Realised
$2.3K
Win rate
100%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- YES
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
38000 shares @ 19.2¢·now 20.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$7.6K
$330.30
- YES
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
38000 shares @ 12.4¢·now 12.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$4.7K
$10.53
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
38000 shares @ 16.9¢·now 11.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$4.4K
$-2.0K
- YES
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
20228 shares @ 3.9¢·now 9.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.9K
$1.1K
- YES
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
100000 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$350.00
$-350.00
- YES
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
40000 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$220.00
$-140.00
- YES
Will Sébastien Lecornu announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?
404 shares @ 23.8¢·now 17.0¢·exp Apr 23, 2027$68.71
$-27.33
- YES
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
10000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$65.00
$-35.00
- YES
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
10000 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$35.00
$-45.00
- NO
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?
113500 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-120.42
Recent activity
- YIELD$1.73Jul 29, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$1.74Jul 28, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$1.75Jul 27, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$1.76Jul 26, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$1.78Jul 25, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$1.79Jul 24, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$1.79Jul 23, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sébastien Lecornu announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?$3.31Jul 22, 09:12 UTC
- YIELD$1.75Jul 22, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$1.73Jul 21, 20:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sébastien Lecornu announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?$1.65Jul 21, 09:33 UTC
- YIELD$1.74Jul 21, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sébastien Lecornu announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?$3.31Jul 20, 11:40 UTC
- YIELD$1.75Jul 19, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$1.76Jul 18, 00:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sébastien Lecornu announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?$1.83Jul 17, 06:02 UTC
- YIELD$1.76Jul 17, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sébastien Lecornu announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?$1.74Jul 16, 06:39 UTC
- YIELD$1.76Jul 16, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sébastien Lecornu announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?$2.48Jul 15, 09:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
22/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 8 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
21 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 56/100.
8 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 21
- Avg trade size
- $5.06
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 30, 10:22 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.