Each-Sea
0x0ed4b4bf6ca8794aedac734daeac371675ae03d8
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
43
Open notional
$336.43
Total PnL
$-689.45
Realised
$-169.21
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 43- YES
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
4911 shares @ 9.1¢·now 6.9¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$336.43
$-112.48
- NO
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
8270 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-24.81
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
4444 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 14, 2026?
4429 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-7.00
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - October 31, 2PM ET
4022 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-9.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - January 20, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET
4000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?
3125 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will the New York Giants win Super Bowl 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,600 on January 24?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET
500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$7.35Jun 4, 21:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?$7.03Jun 4, 21:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$10.50Jun 4, 21:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$10.50Jun 4, 21:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?$21.40Jun 4, 21:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$8.40May 30, 19:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$5.25May 30, 19:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?$5.39May 30, 19:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?$8.42May 30, 19:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?$13.00May 27, 10:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?$31.39May 27, 10:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?$31.45May 27, 10:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?$75.91May 27, 10:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?$5.23May 27, 10:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?$5.24May 27, 10:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?$484.86May 27, 06:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?$111.20May 25, 22:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?$181.21May 25, 22:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 26°C on May 17?$1.61May 25, 22:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 28°C or higher on May 17?$3.14May 17, 09:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $35.18
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 3, 07:04 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 4, 21:46 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.