Sophisticated-Matchmaker
0x0eec4a7fd0443352736c83c20d8055af02cce587
Wallet digest
Activity score
98/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
131
Open notional
$2.2K
Total PnL
$186.14
Realised
$47.95
Win rate
58%
36 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 131- YES
Will Partido Liberal (PL) hold the most seats as a result of the next Brazilian Senate election?
219 shares @ 85.6¢·now 85.0¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$186.36
$-1.40
- NO
Alofoke forms party in DR by June 30, 2027?
319 shares @ 45.5¢·now 53.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2027$168.93
$23.95
- NO
Will Frank Chikane be the next mayor of Johannesburg?
146 shares @ 53.9¢·now 69.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2026$100.99
$22.09
- NO
Will Alfred Cannan be the next Chief Minister of the Isle of Man?
125 shares @ 66.9¢·now 70.0¢·exp Sep 24, 2026$87.37
$3.89
- NO
Will United Bangsamoro Justice Party (UBJP) win the most seats in the 2026 BARMM Parliamentary Elections?
150 shares @ 24.0¢·now 56.5¢·exp Sep 14, 2026$84.50
$48.60
- NO
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by 5–10%?
74 shares @ 86.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$74.06
$10.18
- NO
Will "The Pitt" win 6 or 7 awards at the Emmys?
77 shares @ 95.1¢·now 94.5¢·exp Sep 14, 2026$72.83
$-0.42
- YES
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
100 shares @ 67.0¢·now 68.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$68.50
$1.50
- NO
Will Anne Hathaway win Best Supporting Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?
96 shares @ 64.2¢·now 64.5¢·exp Mar 14, 2027$61.92
$0.32
- YES
Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?
60 shares @ 92.1¢·now 96.3¢·exp Aug 11, 2026$58.11
$2.51
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Max Miller drop out of the OH-07 race by August 30?$18.47Aug 8, 22:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Max Miller drop out of the OH-07 race by August 30?$0.10Aug 8, 21:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Netflix win the most Emmys?$1.71Aug 8, 21:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Max Miller drop out of the OH-07 race by August 30?$0.23Aug 8, 21:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Max Miller drop out of the OH-07 race by August 30?$13.58Aug 8, 21:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Max Miller drop out of the OH-07 race by August 30?$0.19Aug 8, 21:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Max Miller drop out of the OH-07 race by August 30?$0.20Aug 8, 21:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Max Miller drop out of the OH-07 race by August 30?$0.57Aug 8, 21:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Max Miller drop out of the OH-07 race by August 30?$0.76Aug 8, 20:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Max Miller drop out of the OH-07 race by August 30?$0.20Aug 8, 20:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Max Miller drop out of the OH-07 race by August 30?$0.12Aug 8, 20:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Max Miller drop out of the OH-07 race by August 30?$0.19Aug 8, 20:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Max Miller drop out of the OH-07 race by August 30?$4.87Aug 8, 20:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Partido Liberal (PL) hold the most seats as a result of the next Brazilian Senate election?$150.00Aug 8, 20:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Partido Liberal (PL) hold the most seats as a result of the next Brazilian Senate election?$9.37Aug 8, 20:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Partido Liberal (PL) hold the most seats as a result of the next Brazilian Senate election?$7.83Aug 8, 20:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Max Miller drop out of the OH-07 race by August 30?$0.27Aug 8, 20:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Partido Liberal (PL) hold the most seats as a result of the next Brazilian Senate election?$11.08Aug 8, 20:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Max Miller drop out of the OH-07 race by August 30?$0.15Aug 8, 20:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Max Miller drop out of the OH-07 race by August 30?$4.25Aug 8, 20:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
78/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
58% win rate over 36 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 31/100.
36 closed markets, 58% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $13.80
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 8, 08:53 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 8, 22:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 36 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.