PoliticsMulti-outcomeExpires Aug 11, 2026

Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?

Probability

35¢

-1.1pp

24h

+0.5pp

24h Vol

$0.00

Liquidity

$22.1K

Probability (last 7 days)

+6.4pp 7d

Apr 18, 2026, 15:00Apr 25, 2026, 11:54

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice

0s agoResolve
Market resolves in 2580.1h
LOW
11:54Signal
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 2580h with open resolution ambiguity.
LOW
22:00Price
Probability up 5.3pp
to 39¢
MEDIUM
21:00Price
Probability up 3.9pp
to 37¢
MEDIUM
17:00Price
Probability up 3.1pp
to 36¢
MEDIUM
1d agoPrice
Probability up 3.5pp
to 37¢
MEDIUM
1d agoPrice
Probability up 3.6pp
to 37¢
MEDIUM
1d agoPrice
Probability up 3.8pp
to 37¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability up 6.3pp
to 37¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability up 5.0pp
to 36¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability up 5.4pp
to 37¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability up 3.6pp
to 35¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability up 7.0pp
to 36¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability up 6.3pp
to 35¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability up 6.8pp
to 36¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability up 5.3pp
to 34¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability up 5.3pp
to 34¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability up 6.3pp
to 35¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability up 6.6pp
to 36¢
MEDIUM

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Related Markets

Same eventWisconsin Governor Democratic Primary Winner

Category · Politics

Market Description

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Wisconsin, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Wisconsin Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk

End date: Aug 11, 2026
UMA status: n/a
Resolution source: credible reportingNews consensusextracted · medium
Market type: Multi-outcome (neg-risk)

Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
Wide spread (4.3¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.

Read full market rules on Polymarket

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Top Holders

20 wallets

YES

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