0x0f05c084eb9d71878e25df3a156614728c652056
0x0f05c084eb9d71878e25df3a156614728c652056
Wallet digest
Activity score
82/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$38.44
Total PnL
$0.44
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- NO
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?
12 shares @ 34.0¢·now 35.5¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$4.18
$0.18
- NO
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?
6 shares @ 66.8¢·now 64.3¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$3.85
$-0.15
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 25?
3 shares @ 61.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 25, 2026$3.28
$1.28
- NO
Will Luis Isael Rubio Idrogo win the next Lima mayoral elections?
2 shares @ 83.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$2.06
$0.06
- NO
Will Dinamo 1948 vs. Universitatea Craiova CS end in a draw?
2 shares @ 97.0¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jul 25, 2026$2.06
$0.06
- NO
Will Denny Hamlin win the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series Brickyard 400 presented by PPG?
2 shares @ 83.0¢·now 83.5¢·exp Aug 2, 2026$2.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Samir Frank Quispe Caballero win the next Lima mayoral elections?
2 shares @ 98.7¢·now 98.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$1.99
$-0.01
- NO
Will Tyler Reddick win the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series Brickyard 400 presented by PPG?
2 shares @ 90.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp Aug 2, 2026$1.99
$-0.01
- NO
Will Ty Gibbs win the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series Brickyard 400 presented by PPG?
2 shares @ 96.9¢·now 96.0¢·exp Aug 2, 2026$1.98
$-0.02
- NO
Will Sandro Caller Gutiérrez win the next Lima mayoral elections?
2 shares @ 98.6¢·now 97.2¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$1.97
$-0.03
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYEstoril Open: Alexander Blockx vs Luciano Darderi$1.03Jul 25, 19:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYEstoril Open: Alexander Blockx vs Luciano Darderi$1.03Jul 25, 18:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?$1.00Jul 25, 18:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Dinamo 1948 vs. Universitatea Craiova CS end in a draw?$2.00Jul 25, 18:42 UTC
- REDEEMUFC Fight Night: Ismael Bonfim vs. Axel Sola (Lightweight, Prelims)$5.20Jul 25, 18:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on July 27?$2.05Jul 25, 18:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?$2.03Jul 25, 18:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C on July 25?$0.00Jul 25, 16:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 96-97°F on July 24?$0.00Jul 25, 07:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?$2.00Jul 25, 07:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 98-99°F on July 24?$2.02Jul 25, 07:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 25?$2.04Jul 25, 04:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on July 24?$2.02Jul 25, 04:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C on July 25?$2.05Jul 25, 03:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Deportivo Pereira win on 2026-07-24?$2.06Jul 25, 03:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Deportivo Pereira win on 2026-07-24?$2.00Jul 25, 00:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Club Alianza Atlético vs. CD Los Chankas end in a draw?$2.02Jul 25, 00:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by July 31?$1.00Jul 24, 22:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sandro Caller Gutiérrez win the next Lima mayoral elections?$2.00Jul 24, 22:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luis Isael Rubio Idrogo win the next Lima mayoral elections?$2.01Jul 24, 22:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
41 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 46/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $1.34
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 24, 22:07 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 25, 19:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.