Cuddly-Cobweb
0x0f22c9a780c8ce9bc78b1d0557e73774a9978e13
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$50.77
Total PnL
$-117.43
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Jamie Davis Jr. be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Louisiana?
27 shares @ 94.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$26.60
$1.60
- YES
Will Julia Letlow be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?
24 shares @ 91.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$24.18
$2.18
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
123 shares @ 94.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-116.00
- NO
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
88 shares @ 5.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.20
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$116.00Jun 7, 02:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$5.20Jun 7, 02:03 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?$120.91Jun 7, 02:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?$103.50May 30, 08:27 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?$78.26May 30, 08:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?$72.00May 23, 01:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China announce rare earth export relief by May 22?$25.54May 23, 01:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trenten Merrill win The Bachelorette Season 22?$21.72May 23, 01:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?$24.69May 23, 01:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jamie Davis Jr. be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Louisiana?$25.06May 17, 07:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Julia Letlow be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?$22.08May 17, 07:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China announce rare earth export relief by May 22?$25.05May 17, 07:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?$20.15May 17, 07:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trenten Merrill win The Bachelorette Season 22?$21.77Apr 15, 03:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Carlos Felipe Córdoba win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$25.07Apr 15, 03:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Carlos Felipe Córdoba win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$25.10Apr 6, 03:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Roy Barreras win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$17.46Apr 6, 03:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $40 by end of March?$13.21Apr 6, 03:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $40 by end of March?$13.20Mar 30, 09:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill "So Easy (To Fall In Love) - Olivia Dean" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?$21.87Mar 30, 09:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
38 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 72/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $260.37
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 31, 00:19 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 7, 02:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.