Infantile-Toot
0x0f409d1b2093ecb4c9bbcd8e239c8377eed3df2d
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$17.50
Total PnL
$-27.41
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on June 22?
20 shares @ 88.0¢·now 67.0¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$13.40
$-4.20
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
30 shares @ 15.0¢·now 13.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$4.09
$-0.41
- YES
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?
50 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
15 shares @ 18.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.81
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on June 22?$10.82Jun 20, 06:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on June 22?$6.78Jun 20, 06:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Cait Conley win the NY-17 Democratic Primary by 10–15%?$10.40Jun 20, 06:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cait Conley win the NY-17 Democratic Primary by 10–15%?$11.20Jun 20, 04:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?$2.87Jun 13, 09:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?$17.24Jun 6, 17:39 UTC
- TRADESELLGames Total: O/U 4.5$0.10Jun 6, 17:39 UTC
- TRADESELLLoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffs$1.07Jun 6, 16:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffs$2.73Jun 6, 16:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffs$0.47Jun 6, 16:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYGames Total: O/U 4.5$3.67Jun 6, 14:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?$20.36May 30, 11:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?$10.13May 6, 20:56 UTC
- TRADESELLAI bubble burst in 2026?$3.08Apr 17, 14:37 UTC
- REDEEMLoL: Movistar KOI vs GIANTX (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Season$0.00Mar 18, 17:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$0.00Mar 18, 17:34 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 11, 9AM ET$0.00Mar 18, 17:34 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 11, 9AM ET$0.00Mar 18, 17:34 UTC
- TRADESELLLoL: SK Gaming vs Movistar KOI (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Season$1.10Feb 1, 19:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: SK Gaming vs Movistar KOI (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Season$2.50Feb 1, 18:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
43 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 67/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $9.99
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 21, 22:05 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 20, 06:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.