Immense-Patch
0x0f511911f82b7f37993620b53e13897a88407301
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$9.24
Total PnL
$-57.16
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?
10 shares @ 92.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.24
$0.24
- YES
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14?
13 shares @ 38.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?
13 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- NO
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
11 shares @ 70.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-8.00
- ILIA TOPURIA
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)
11 shares @ 80.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-9.00
- YES
Government shutdown on Saturday?
11 shares @ 72.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 14, 2026$0.00
$-8.00
- YES
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX's Super Heavy?
9 shares @ 80.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 18, 2024$0.00
$-7.00
- BASHI
Rodriguez vs. Bashi
8 shares @ 66.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 11, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- RIBAS
Dern vs. Ribas
6 shares @ 63.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 11, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- NO
Will the US gain between 200-250k jobs in November?
6 shares @ 87.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 6, 2024$0.00
$-5.41
Recent activity
- REDEEMNetherlands vs. Japan: Both Teams to Score$13.21Jun 14, 22:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)$9.05Jun 14, 14:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ecuador win on 2026-06-14?$5.09Jun 14, 14:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?$6.09Jun 14, 14:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetherlands vs. Japan: Both Teams to Score$7.10Jun 14, 14:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$5.58Jun 14, 14:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Putin meet with Zelenskyy by March 31, 2026?$6.34Jun 14, 14:19 UTC
- REDEEMIran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 15?$6.34Jun 14, 14:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-03-05?$6.45Jun 14, 14:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?$8.24Jun 14, 14:19 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran ceasefire by March 6?$11.02Jun 14, 14:19 UTC
- REDEEMUS forces enter Iran by March 7?$11.84Jun 14, 14:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?$7.00Mar 5, 20:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 15?$6.00Mar 5, 20:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-03-05?$4.00Mar 5, 20:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by March 7?$11.00Mar 5, 20:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by March 6?$11.00Mar 5, 20:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?$7.06Mar 5, 20:00 UTC
- REDEEMS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 10?$8.62Mar 5, 20:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?$10.05Mar 5, 20:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
28 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 72/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $6.85
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 5, 14:49 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 22:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.