Impartial-Stump
0x0f5621af32230fef955a03158b0732030cacee2a
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$2.02
Total PnL
$-1.1K
Realised
$-16.81
Win rate
94%
48 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
15 shares @ 5.6¢·now 13.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$2.02
$1.20
- OVER
Pistons vs. Spurs: O/U 227.5
100 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 6, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- WARRIORS
Celtics vs. Warriors
20 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 20, 2026$0.00
$-6.60
- SHARKS
Canucks vs. Sharks
20 shares @ 64.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-12.80
- YES
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?
20 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-0.63
- YES
Will the Los Angeles Clippers win the 2026 NBA Finals?
20 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-0.20
- YES
Will Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?
20 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will Villarreal CF win on 2025-12-14?
18 shares @ 47.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 14, 2025$0.00
$-8.34
- LIGHTNING
Canadiens vs. Lightning
17 shares @ 60.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.40
- STARS
Spread: Stars (-1.5)
13 shares @ 50.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 5, 2026$0.00
$-6.72
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jul 16, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 15, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 14, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 13, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 12, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 11, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 10, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 9, 00:21 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 8, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. Morocco: Team to Advance$2.20Jul 7, 18:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYArgentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advance$1.40Jul 7, 14:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Argentina (-1.5)$5.20Jul 7, 12:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win on 2026-07-07?$2.70Jul 7, 12:53 UTC
- REDEEMSwitzerland vs. Algeria: Both Teams to Score$10.00Jul 7, 12:27 UTC
- REDEEMWimbledon ATP: Zizou Bergs vs Jaime Faria$10.00Jul 7, 12:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Colombia win on 2026-07-03?$10.00Jul 7, 12:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Portugal win on 2026-07-02?$10.00Jul 7, 12:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Morocco win on 2026-07-04?$10.00Jul 7, 12:27 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 7, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 6, 00:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
60/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
94% win rate over 48 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
25 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 50/100.
48 closed markets, 94% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $3.44
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 29, 14:52 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 16, 00:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 48 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.