Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Probability
5¢
1h
+0.1pp
24h
-0.8pp
24h Vol
$458.6K
Liquidity
$271.4K
Probability (last 7 days)
-1.3pp 7dWhy did it move?
Without an Anthropic API key we show a heuristic summary derived from the market metrics.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 22253.8h
- 18:10SignalHIGH
Signal · Clustered NO flow
25 trades ($5,882) aligned on NO across 22 wallets in the last 30 min.
- 18:10SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 22254h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 18:07TradeMEDIUM
Motionless-Artifact · SELL YES $5.3K
@ 88¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
25- SELLUP3m ago
- BUYNATUS VINCERE3m ago
- BUYDOWN3m ago
- BUYDOWN3m ago
- BUYDOWN3m ago
- SELLYES3m ago
- BUYYES3m ago
- BUYDOWN3m ago
- BUYDOWN3m ago
- BUYDOWN3m ago
- BUYNATUS VINCERE3m ago
- BUYYES3m ago
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Market Description
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolution & Risk
MEDIUM risk- End date
- Nov 7, 2028
- Resolution source
- UMA status
- n/a
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
- No primary resolution source listed — read the market rules.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).
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