Failing-Compliance
0x0f5830d72a09b6bb1f19793fa8003ef4415e5ff2
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$7.88
Total PnL
$-2.6K
Realised
$-111.29
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- YES
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?
300 shares @ 18.0¢·now 1.6¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$4.65
$-49.35
- YES
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?
1293 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$3.23
$-87.23
- NO
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?
50000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 8, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
3000 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-390.00
- NO
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 13, 2026?
1337 shares @ 22.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-297.55
- YES
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 13, 2026?
1300 shares @ 6.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-84.00
- YES
Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?
1100 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-44.59
- NO
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 6, 2026?
1000 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-21.00
- YES
Will Iran strike Turkey in March?
1000 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$0.00
$-120.28
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
1000 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-170.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 31, 2026?$108.64Jul 23, 04:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Houthis successfully target shipping by August 31, 2026?$36.65Jul 23, 02:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 31, 2026?$18.18Jul 20, 12:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 31, 2026?$15.50Jul 20, 12:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 17, 2026?$4.68Jul 16, 12:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?$90.46Jul 16, 11:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?$30.00Jul 15, 18:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran successfully targets shipping on July 13?$16.59Jul 14, 09:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Houthis successfully target shipping by August 31, 2026?$27.74Jul 13, 11:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 17, 2026?$94.77Jul 13, 11:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?$24.00Jul 8, 14:55 UTC
- REDEEM Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$1.0KJul 1, 06:10 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$581.40Jun 24, 23:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$148.20Jun 21, 17:35 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?$47.41Jun 20, 12:52 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?$163.14Jun 19, 05:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?$34.89Jun 18, 18:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?$50.00Jun 18, 15:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?$22.40Jun 18, 06:30 UTC
- TRADEBUY Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$618.46Jun 16, 20:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 72/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $139.80
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 16, 16:46 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 23, 04:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.