Thorough-Butane
0x0f658daa8eae8a38e8daa22ece19a0ae548f720d
Activity score
44/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
5
Open notional
$22.21
Total PnL
$-8.90
Realised
$-9.64
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
- GENOA CFC
Spread: ACF Fiorentina (-2.5)
21 shares @ 92.0¢·now 96.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$20.16
$0.84
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 1040-1079 tweets in March 2026?
1 shares @ 97.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$1.00
$0.03
- NO
Will Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026?
1 shares @ 96.3¢·now 98.7¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$0.99
$0.02
- YES
Will The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026?
3 shares @ 4.7¢·now 1.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.06
$-0.09
- YES
Will the People Power Party (PPP) win the 2026 South Korean local elections?
1 shares @ 7.5¢·now 1.1¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$0.01
$-0.06
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYSpread: ACF Fiorentina (-2.5)$19.376h ago
- TRADESELLWill Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026?$373.0552d ago
- TRADESELLWill Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026?$949.4152d ago
- TRADESELLWill Israel strike 6 countries in 2026?$17.6853d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike 6 countries in 2026?$10.5653d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike 6 countries in 2026?$7.1253d ago
- TRADESELLWill Israel strike 2 countries in 2026?$227.9953d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike 2 countries in 2026?$145.1153d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike 2 countries in 2026?$82.6553d ago
- TRADESELLWill Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?$8.7753d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?$8.9853d ago
- TRADESELLWill the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$223.2353d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$222.5153d ago
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from March 19 to March 21, 2026?$17.4353d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from March 19 to March 21, 2026?$18.2653d ago
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from March 19 to March 21, 2026?$239.9653d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from March 19 to March 21, 2026?$239.7153d ago
- TRADESELLWill Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?$26.6353d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?$27.9053d ago
- TRADESELLWill the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$237.6453d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $165.12
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 53d ago
- Last active
- 6h ago
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".
