Adored-Antelope
0x0f7c21aecb905a62dd274c8128ee807901a24bb5
Wallet digest
Activity score
76/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
28
Open notional
$38.51
Total PnL
$-3.52
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 28- NO
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 17°C on May 2?
15 shares @ 98.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 2, 2026$15.00
$0.18
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C or higher on April 28?
12 shares @ 98.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$11.99
$0.24
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on May 2?
10 shares @ 98.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 2, 2026$10.00
$0.20
- NO
Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?
2 shares @ 91.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 26, 2026$1.52
$0.14
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 45°C on April 24?
15 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2026$0.00
$-0.27
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 13°C on April 24?
15 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2026$0.00
$-0.15
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on April 23?
15 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 23, 2026$0.00
$-0.15
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 26?
15 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 26, 2026$0.00
$-0.15
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 19°C on April 24?
15 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2026$0.00
$-0.15
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on April 26?
15 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 26, 2026$0.00
$-0.15
Recent activity
- TRADESELLGPT-5.6 released by July 6, 2026?$14.84Jul 5, 09:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYGPT-5.6 released by July 6, 2026?$14.71Jul 5, 00:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by June 30, 2026?$24.00Jul 4, 15:50 UTC
- REDEEMJerome Powell federally charged by June 30?$25.00Jul 1, 07:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Shannon Bird be the Democratic nominee for CO-08?$11.88Jul 1, 01:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 30°C on June 28?$10.00Jun 29, 04:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by June 30, 2026?$23.98Jun 29, 02:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Shannon Bird be the Democratic nominee for CO-08?$11.54Jun 29, 00:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on June 28?$15.00Jun 28, 16:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on June 28?$0.15Jun 28, 02:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on June 28?$14.86Jun 28, 02:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 30°C on June 28?$0.01Jun 27, 13:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 30°C on June 28?$0.09Jun 27, 13:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 30°C on June 28?$9.90Jun 27, 12:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from June 19 to June 26, 2026?$14.84Jun 26, 15:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from June 19 to June 26, 2026?$14.00Jun 26, 08:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 16°C on June 25?$10.00Jun 25, 21:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on June 25?$12.00Jun 25, 16:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYJerome Powell federally charged by June 30?$24.98Jun 25, 12:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on June 25?$0.12Jun 25, 06:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
37 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 58/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $8.74
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 14, 21:43 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 5, 09:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.