Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30?

1. 1

   Resolution-risk signal firing

   Expires in 1569h with open resolution ambiguity.

2. 2

   Thin liquidity

   Only $14.0k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.

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This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of Jerome Powell by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.