Yawning-Pinworm
0x0f93b26eda4e7d7022aec808ba499452eb8e3300
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
30
Open notional
$721.01
Total PnL
$-4.0K
Realised
$-206.83
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 30- YES
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?
800 shares @ 65.4¢·now 50.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$404.00
$-119.00
- YES
Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?
270 shares @ 37.0¢·now 63.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$170.27
$70.27
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
164 shares @ 61.0¢·now 61.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$100.00
$0.00
- YES
Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?
2226 shares @ 6.7¢·now 2.1¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$46.74
$-103.26
- YES
Will the next GPT model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1460 by December 31, 2026?
1475 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?
1211 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-400.00
- NO
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?
1147 shares @ 43.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-500.00
- YES
Will OpenAi have the top AI model on September 30?
714 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- NO
Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?
696 shares @ 71.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-500.00
- YES
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
500 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
Recent activity
- MAKER_REBATE$1.11Jul 12, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?$154.80Jul 11, 12:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?$130.00Jul 11, 11:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?$4.73Jul 11, 09:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?$9.29Jul 11, 09:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?$19.68Jul 11, 09:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?$200.69Jul 11, 09:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?$6.59Jul 10, 23:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next GPT model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1460 by December 31, 2026?$51.93Jul 10, 23:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Spain win on 2026-07-10?$327.87Jul 10, 21:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win on 2026-07-11?$202.59Jul 10, 00:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway win on 2026-07-11?$51.16Jul 10, 00:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill France win on 2026-07-09?$161.29Jul 9, 22:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win on 2026-07-10?$202.34Jul 8, 02:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Argentina win on 2026-07-07?$138.89Jul 7, 18:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Spain win on 2026-07-06?$192.31Jul 6, 21:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win on 2026-07-09?$101.14Jul 6, 05:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United States win on 2026-07-06?$50.93Jul 6, 05:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?$51.86Jul 6, 05:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$101.56Jul 5, 00:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
19/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
33% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
34 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 70/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $113.32
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 29, 00:16 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 12, 00:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.