Familiar-Lid
0x0fb1bcb489dac91f6c652a5bd1b94f7b1081ad6e
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$590.50
Total PnL
$-207.50
Realised
$2.80
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?
172 shares @ 98.9¢·now 98.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$169.91
$-0.09
- NO
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?
158 shares @ 98.4¢·now 98.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$154.90
$-0.10
- NO
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?
107 shares @ 97.6¢·now 99.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$106.36
$1.56
- YES
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
101 shares @ 99.0¢·now 99.1¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$100.05
$0.05
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
78 shares @ 77.3¢·now 76.3¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$59.28
$-0.72
- NO
Will Ethereum reach $4200 August 4–10?
213 shares @ 98.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 11, 2025$0.00
$-211.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMKnicks vs. Spurs: O/U 217.5$131.30Jun 14, 03:48 UTC
- REDEEMKnicks vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5$121.21Jun 14, 03:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$60.00Jun 14, 03:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$100.05Jun 14, 03:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYNATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?$155.00Jun 14, 03:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?$170.00Jun 14, 03:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYKnicks vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5$120.04Jun 14, 03:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYKnicks vs. Spurs: O/U 217.5$130.04Jun 14, 03:13 UTC
- TRADESELLPutin out as President of Russia by June 30?$198.00Jun 14, 03:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?$31.99Jun 14, 03:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?$162.44Jun 14, 03:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?$171.72Jun 14, 03:10 UTC
- REDEEMTrump out as President by May 31?$196.57Jun 14, 03:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?$160.00May 27, 10:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?$139.56May 27, 10:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?$167.19May 6, 14:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYPutin out as President of Russia by June 30?$300.00May 6, 14:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?$170.00May 6, 14:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President by May 31?$195.00May 6, 14:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum dip to $1,200 in April?$262.36May 6, 13:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $212.89
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 27, 07:40 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 03:48 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.