Nutty-Kind
0x0fb84b3c7283f289de3a0cca6868b3256f0e559e
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
44
Open notional
$16.69
Total PnL
$-201.91
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 44- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
10 shares @ 91.8¢·now 96.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.62
$0.43
- YES
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
5 shares @ 56.0¢·now 55.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$2.97
$-0.03
- YES
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
20 shares @ 15.0¢·now 14.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$2.90
$-0.10
- YES
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?
59 shares @ 1.7¢·now 2.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.21
$0.21
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
300 shares @ 23.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-69.80
- YES
Will DR Congo win on 2026-07-01?
50 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?
40 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Tochigi SC win on 2026-04-08?
40 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 8, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Brighton finish in the top 4 of EPL?
36 shares @ 12.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2025$0.00
$-4.61
- OVER
Cagliari Calcio vs. US Cremonese: O/U 2.5
25 shares @ 39.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2026$0.00
$-9.82
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jul 23, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?$3.10Jul 22, 06:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?$3.05Jul 22, 06:28 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 21, 20:08 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Spain (-1.5)$2.47Jul 19, 22:24 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 19, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 18, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.06Jul 16, 14:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Spain (-1.5)$2.02Jul 16, 14:27 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 16, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?$1.00Jul 15, 13:00 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 15, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 14, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England vs. Argentina end in a draw?$2.07Jul 13, 12:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France vs. Spain end in a draw?$2.07Jul 13, 12:53 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 13, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 12, 00:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill England win on 2026-07-11?$4.17Jul 12, 00:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway win on 2026-07-11?$2.08Jul 11, 22:47 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 11, 00:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
23 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 58/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $1.60
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 26, 00:14 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 23, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.