Strange-Homeownership
0x0fbe3be15e7abd6f8733d6f94256ac9627818f74
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$38.26
Total PnL
$-159.25
Realised
$3.94
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 23?
37 shares @ 27.9¢·now 43.0¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$15.73
$5.53
- YES
Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of September 2026?
60 shares @ 25.0¢·now 24.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$14.70
$-0.30
- YES
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
204 shares @ 4.9¢·now 3.3¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$6.63
$-3.37
- YES
Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
10 shares @ 12.0¢·now 11.5¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$1.20
$-0.05
- YES
Will Lilo & Stitch be the top grossing movie of 2025?
143 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?
87 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will the next James Bond be British?
62 shares @ 65.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
59 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
"Freakier Friday" Rotten Tomatoes score is less than 50%?
56 shares @ 35.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 11, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
"Happy Gilmore 2" Rotten Tomatoes score be less than 40?
55 shares @ 36.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 28, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$5.05Jul 23, 08:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best Math AI model at the end of September 2026?$15.45Jul 23, 08:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$3.28Jul 23, 08:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$14.37Jul 23, 08:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 23?$13.71Jul 23, 08:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$5.22Jul 22, 07:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$20.40Jul 22, 07:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$10.48Jul 22, 07:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 23?$20.58Jul 22, 06:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill 'A Minecraft Movie' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?$83.68Jan 6, 01:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$20.00Aug 10, 12:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia announces air truce by August 31?$21.00Aug 10, 12:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin hit $110k or $120k first?$33.88Aug 10, 12:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin hit $110k or $120k first?$21.00Aug 5, 15:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lilo & Stitch be the top grossing movie of 2025?$4.00Jul 28, 18:45 UTC
- REDEEMThailand x Cambodia ceasefire by July 31?$34.48Jul 28, 18:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tyler, The Creator's album 'DON'T TAP THE GLASS' have over 200k sales by July 25?$111.11Jul 28, 18:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYThailand x Cambodia ceasefire by July 31?$20.00Jul 26, 00:23 UTC
- TRADEBUY"Freakier Friday" Rotten Tomatoes score is less than 50%?$20.00Jul 24, 17:11 UTC
- TRADEBUY"Happy Gilmore 2" Rotten Tomatoes score be less than 40?$20.00Jul 24, 17:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
39 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 63/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $35.02
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 24, 02:07 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 23, 08:37 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.