Distorted-Research
0x0fdc57ebdb136a4f8f80c7eb8defc73f01d562f1
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$18.19
Total PnL
$-6.80
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
4 shares @ 95.2¢·now 97.7¢·exp May 31, 2026$4.10
$0.10
- NO
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by June 30?
3 shares @ 94.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$2.98
$-0.02
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
2 shares @ 92.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.05
$0.05
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
2 shares @ 98.0¢·now 99.1¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.02
$0.02
- NO
Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day?
2 shares @ 99.6¢·now 99.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$2.00
$0.00
- NO
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
2 shares @ 99.6¢·now 99.6¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$2.00
$-0.00
- NO
Will Anduril have the highest private market valuation on June 30?
2 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.6¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$1.99
$-0.01
- YES
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?
1 shares @ 95.0¢·now 97.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$1.03
$0.03
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 22, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET
4 shares @ 53.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 22, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on December 15?
3 shares @ 87.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 15, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by June 30?$1.00May 20, 00:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by June 30?$2.00May 20, 00:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anduril have the highest private market valuation on June 30?$2.00May 20, 00:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Beauty and a Beat - Justin Bieber, Nicki Minaj" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?$2.04May 17, 09:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Sweden advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?$2.04May 17, 09:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$2.00May 17, 09:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$2.01May 13, 02:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?$2.00May 10, 08:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$2.00May 7, 14:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill the ECB announce an increase at the April 2026 meeting?$2.03May 4, 13:43 UTC
- REDEEMNo change in Bank of England’s interest rates after April 2026 meeting?$2.04May 4, 13:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$2.11May 4, 13:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$5.17May 4, 13:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Beauty and a Beat - Justin Bieber, Nicki Minaj" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?$2.00May 4, 13:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?$2.08Apr 30, 00:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$10.07Apr 30, 00:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$2.00Apr 30, 00:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase April 28-May 4?$1.00Apr 27, 07:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill MrBeast's next video get between 58 and 61 million views on day 2?$2.02Apr 23, 10:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Bank of England’s interest rates after April 2026 meeting?$2.00Apr 23, 10:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $1.93
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 11, 12:57 UTC
- Last active
- May 20, 00:27 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".