Luxurious-Loyalty
0x0fdf7ed0da7c8456bbb4cfbee47065fe2cef8903
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
24
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-409.16
Realised
$-11.17
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 24- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?
500 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.50
- YES
Iran Nuke in 2025?
200 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-24.00
- ENGLAND
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance
150 shares @ 55.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$0.00
$-82.88
- YES
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?
100 shares @ 23.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2026$0.00
$-23.38
- FRANCE
France vs. Spain: Team to Advance
100 shares @ 59.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$0.00
$-59.50
- YES
Will Trump sell 101-1k Gold Cards in 2025?
100 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-7.00
- YES
Will Japanese PM apologize for China comments in 2025?
100 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.90
- YES
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
100 shares @ 5.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-5.90
- YES
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
100 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-13.00
- YES
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
100 shares @ 30.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-30.90
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win on 2026-07-19?$1.49Jul 19, 21:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$3.82Jul 19, 01:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$23.17Jul 19, 01:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$4.92Jul 17, 14:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$10.80Jul 17, 03:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.30Jul 17, 03:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win on 2026-07-19?$5.60Jul 17, 03:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain leading at halftime?$4.81Jul 17, 03:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain to score first vs. Argentina?$5.52Jul 17, 03:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYEngland vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$84.73Jul 13, 08:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. Spain: Team to Advance$60.70Jul 13, 08:47 UTC
- TRADESELLArgentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance$0.81Jul 12, 03:37 UTC
- TRADESELLArgentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance$28.01Jul 12, 03:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYArgentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance$21.54Jul 12, 03:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Argentina win on 2026-07-11?$12.36Jul 12, 02:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win on 2026-07-11?$15.15Jul 12, 02:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win on 2026-07-11?$22.93Jul 12, 01:34 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 12, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 11, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$9.95Jul 10, 03:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
45 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 51/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $19.98
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 15, 09:44 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 19, 21:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.