Stale-Octavo
0x103b1c9610499e0eacb75728804b59d02d7f33d6
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$92.62
Total PnL
$-167.43
Realised
$0.54
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
2494 shares @ 4.1¢·now 2.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$51.13
$-51.09
- YES
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?
25 shares @ 86.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$25.33
$3.55
- NO
Will France win Eurovision 2026?
11 shares @ 94.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$11.11
$0.67
- YES
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
10 shares @ 47.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$5.05
$0.35
- NO
Epstein blackmail evidence released in 2025?
11331 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-39.17
- NO
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?
1000 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?
1000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?
900 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-30.60
- YES
New "Stranger Things" episode released by Wednesday?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?
100 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-8.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jun 14, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 13, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 12, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 11, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 10, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 9, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 8, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 7, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 6, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 5, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 4, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 3, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 2, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 1, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 31, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 30, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 29, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 28, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 27, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 26, 00:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 26, 00:11 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.