Phony-Flow
0x1044fd47a864bfb014a6d1b164be555d2d6151bf
Wallet digest
Activity score
93/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$212.81
Total PnL
$18.67
Realised
$30.73
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 23?
188 shares @ 84.9¢·now 87.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$163.90
$3.90
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on May 23?
128 shares @ 33.6¢·now 33.5¢·exp May 23, 2026$42.86
$-0.19
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 1040-1079 tweets in May 2026?
100 shares @ 3.8¢·now 4.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$4.45
$0.65
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 1120-1159 tweets in May 2026?
74 shares @ 1.4¢·now 2.1¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$1.54
$0.54
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
105 shares @ 16.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.05
$-16.97
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 23?$161.21May 21, 15:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on May 23?$41.32May 21, 14:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on May 23?$3.15May 21, 14:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$0.52May 21, 10:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$17.73May 21, 04:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 1080-1119 tweets in May 2026?$14.12May 21, 04:18 UTC
- REWARD$0.24May 21, 00:15 UTC
- REWARD$1.60May 21, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$1.82May 20, 21:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$11.94May 20, 07:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$11.83May 20, 07:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$33.14May 20, 05:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$33.06May 20, 05:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$30.24May 20, 00:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$29.81May 20, 00:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$88.14May 19, 23:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$3.44May 19, 23:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$17.13May 19, 23:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$0.43May 19, 23:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$31.08May 19, 16:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $25.93
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 15, 16:58 UTC
- Last active
- May 21, 15:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".