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OtherMulti-outcomeExpires Jun 1, 2026

Will Elon Musk post 1080-1119 tweets in May 2026?

Probability

1h

+0.0pp

24h

+2.5pp

24h Vol

$240.16

Liquidity

$2.0K

Probability (last 7 days)

+1.8pp 7d
Apr 18, 2026, 11:00Apr 25, 2026, 10:33
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

 

Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice
  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 881.4h

    LOW
  • 10:33Signal

    Signal · Resolution risk

    Expires in 881h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW
  • 05:00Price

    Probability up 13.8pp

    to 17¢

    MEDIUM
  • 03:00Price

    Probability up 11.8pp

    to 15¢

    MEDIUM
  • 02:00Price

    Probability up 10.3pp

    to 16¢

    MEDIUM
  • 00:00Price

    Probability up 8.9pp

    to 14¢

    MEDIUM
  • 23:00Price

    Probability up 9.7pp

    to 15¢

    MEDIUM
  • 21:00Price

    Probability up 9.3pp

    to 15¢

    MEDIUM
  • 20:00Price

    Probability up 10.0pp

    to 15¢

    MEDIUM
  • 18:00Price

    Probability up 6.3pp

    to 12¢

    MEDIUM
  • 17:00Price

    Probability up 6.1pp

    to 11¢

    MEDIUM
  • 16:00Price

    Probability up 6.1pp

    to 11¢

    MEDIUM
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of May 2026. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
Jun 1, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
https://x.com/elonmuskSocial media post
Market type
Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
  • Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
  • Wide spread (6.5¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
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