Appropriate-Landscape
0x1062a069abb95899fd483aa42a3420fbdf00aea5
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$7.8K
Total PnL
$1.2K
Realised
$5.94
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
1704 shares @ 61.2¢·now 93.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.6K
$549.78
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
1222 shares @ 72.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.2K
$337.62
- NO
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?
1246 shares @ 80.1¢·now 94.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.2K
$178.90
- NO
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
1174 shares @ 92.7¢·now 94.5¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$1.1K
$21.09
- NO
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
674 shares @ 89.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$610.11
$10.11
- NO
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
611 shares @ 74.0¢·now 99.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$608.18
$155.98
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
623 shares @ 48.1¢·now 85.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$532.66
$232.66
- NO
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?
348 shares @ 57.4¢·now 83.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$290.98
$90.98
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
282 shares @ 71.0¢·now 88.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$249.30
$49.30
- NO
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?
227 shares @ 88.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$198.86
$-1.14
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.05Jul 6, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 5, 00:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?$185.73Jul 4, 00:31 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 4, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYPutin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?$200.00Jul 3, 15:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$200.60Jul 3, 15:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?$200.00Jul 3, 15:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYPutin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?$400.00Jul 3, 15:30 UTC
- REDEEMIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?$341.27Jul 1, 11:58 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?$109.89Jul 1, 06:18 UTC
- REDEEMKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?$600.00Jul 1, 06:09 UTC
- REDEEMMojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by June 30, 2026?$389.02Jul 1, 06:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?$107.53Jul 1, 06:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Italy send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?$104.41Jul 1, 06:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?$221.10Jul 1, 06:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?$18.54Jul 1, 06:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$184.87Jul 1, 06:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?$24.00Jun 27, 20:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$200.00Jun 25, 21:16 UTC
- REDEEMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?$208.34Jun 23, 15:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
35 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 62/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $130.79
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 2, 18:21 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 6, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.