Cautious-Piety
0x1078a214f71a06ce9e6b8b66bae63bef0350d64e
Wallet digest
Activity score
88/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$310.10
Total PnL
$-8.04
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
Will Ludvig Aberg win the 2026 Masters tournament?
200 shares @ 94.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$200.00
$11.60
- NO
Will Nicolai Hojgaard win the 2026 Masters tournament?
110 shares @ 99.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$110.10
$0.76
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?
283 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.98
- YES
Fed rate cut by June meeting?
204 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2025$0.00
$-4.80
- YES
Will Ras Baraka win the 2025 Democratic Primary for governor of New Jersey?
188 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.19
- YES
Will Fartcoin dip to $0.85 before June?
180 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2025$0.00
$-3.06
- YES
Trump exits Russia x Ukraine negotiations before July?
146 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.12
- YES
Will Werder Bremen win on 2025-09-26?
103 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 26, 2025$0.00
$-3.80
- YES
Will Elon tweet 135–149 times August 1–August 8?
88 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 8, 2025$0.00
$-1.05
- NO
Will 'The Fate of Ophelia' be the most streamed song on 'The Life of a Showgirl' on Oct 10th?
83 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLIran leadership change by April 30?$58.86Apr 27, 17:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change by April 30?$56.10Apr 23, 17:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nicolai Hojgaard win the 2026 Masters tournament?$109.34Apr 9, 18:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ludvig Aberg win the 2026 Masters tournament?$188.40Apr 6, 11:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?$129.48Mar 30, 21:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March?$1.44Mar 29, 12:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?$128.70Mar 26, 21:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $110,000 in March?$119.76Mar 26, 21:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $110,000 in March?$119.88Mar 26, 21:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?$89.82Mar 26, 21:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?$89.91Mar 26, 21:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March?$2.24Mar 25, 12:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?$1.98Mar 22, 12:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?$129.61Mar 22, 12:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?$129.74Mar 22, 12:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Washington Capitals win the 2025 Stanley Cup?$540.00Mar 19, 10:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the New York Giants win Super Bowl 2026?$9.97Nov 2, 05:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the New York Giants win Super Bowl 2026?$9.97Nov 1, 11:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 'The Fate of Ophelia' be the most streamed song on 'The Life of a Showgirl' on Oct 10th?$2.00Oct 6, 07:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Werder Bremen win on 2025-09-26?$3.80Sep 24, 09:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $145.83
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 8, 14:39 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 27, 17:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".