Muted-Ribbon
0x10865e8face22c8858bceb35171ffd723d749e8b
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
40
Open notional
$130.46
Total PnL
$-102.44
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 40- NO
Will XRP reach $1.60 in May?
95 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$94.60
$0.09
- NO
Will Yang Hyang-ja win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?
13 shares @ 99.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$13.22
$0.12
- NO
Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?
12 shares @ 98.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$11.93
$0.23
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 18°C on May 30?
11 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$10.71
$0.01
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on April 27?
1207 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 27, 2026$0.00
$-2.41
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 16?
715 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.43
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?
709 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 27, 2026$0.00
$-3.80
- YES
Will Frankenstein win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
705 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-2.82
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on March 27?
700 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.40
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $84,000 on April 27?
696 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.39
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill XRP reach $1.60 in May?$94.52May 31, 04:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$93.86May 31, 04:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$94.03May 31, 03:57 UTC
- REDEEMLos Angeles Angels vs. Tampa Bay Rays$12.62May 31, 03:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 28 to May 30, 2026?$82.07May 31, 03:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 28 to May 30, 2026?$81.99May 30, 11:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Los Angeles Angels win the 2026 World Series?$81.90May 30, 11:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Los Angeles Angels win the 2026 World Series?$82.01May 30, 11:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the San Francisco Giants win the 2026 World Series?$81.90May 30, 11:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the San Francisco Giants win the 2026 World Series?$82.01May 30, 10:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYLos Angeles Angels vs. Tampa Bay Rays$5.39May 30, 10:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Yang Hyang-ja win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?$13.10May 30, 10:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 29?$100.72May 30, 10:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 29?$100.44May 29, 09:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 18°C on May 30?$10.70May 29, 09:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 28?$111.14May 29, 09:05 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 29, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 28?$110.52May 28, 11:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$109.85May 28, 11:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$110.03May 28, 09:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $88.76
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 22, 13:05 UTC
- Last active
- May 31, 04:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.